Publications
Evidence with a purpose.
Reports, policy briefs, press releases, books, and public commentary in one searchable archive.
The Hidden Cost of Fire: Economic and Health Impacts of Forest and Land Fires in Indonesia 2026
CELIOS has released its latest research on the economic and health costs of forest and land fires (Karhutla) in Indonesia throughout January–August 2026. ➖ The total economic and health costs of forest and land fires in Indonesia during January–August 2026 are estimated at Rp39.29–123.1 trillion. The upper-end estimate of Rp123.1 trillion is equivalent to 49.1% of Central Kalimantan’s projected regional GDP in 2026. This estimate does not yet account for a scenario in which forest and land fire
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(Not) Nutritious, (Not) Free Meals
When (Not) Nutritious, (Not) Free Meals The Free Nutritious Meals Program (MBG) is touted as a flagship program of the Prabowo-Gibran administration. The government, through Bappenas, identifies 4 main objectives for MBG. These include meeting the nutritional needs of vulnerable groups. The program is also intended to improve the quality of education. MBG is expected to boost the local economy. The program is also claimed to create jobs. President Prabowo Subianto has repeatedly said that MBG is the provis
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Economic Losses from the Sumatra Flood Disaster
Celios Study Findings: Economic Impact of the Sumatra Flood Disaster 🗣️ Ecological disasters in Sumatra in November 2025 are projected to have caused economic losses of Rp68.67 trillion. This figure includes damage to residents’ homes, loss of household income, damage to road and bridge infrastructure, and lost agricultural production from farmland inundated by floods and landslides. 🗣️ Specifically, Aceh Province is projected to suffer losses of Rp2.2 trillion. North Sumatra is projected to
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Prabowo–Gibran’s 1-Year Performance Report Card
One Year of Prabowo–Gibran: A Failing Grade from the Public CELIOS releases the results of its Evaluation of the First Year of the Prabowo–Gibran Administration, assessing program achievements, leadership, budget governance, policy communication, and law enforcement. The evaluation was conducted through a panel survey of 120 journalists from 60 national media outlets and a public survey of 1,338 respondents across Indonesia. The results show failing grades in almost every sector. Prabowo Subianto received a score of 3 out of 10, Gibran
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